Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.