Arsenal
4 - 1
Leeds

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Wolves 2-4 Leeds
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Leeds United
75.77%	14.49%	9.74%

Both teams to score 55.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.9%

30.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.68%

51.32%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.4%

6.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.46%

24.54%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59%

41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44%

77.56%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 75.77%

Leeds United 9.74%

Draw 14.49%

Arsenal	Draw	Leeds United
2-0 @ 10% 3-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 6.16% 4-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 3.6% 5-0 @ 3.35% 5-1 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.45% 6-0 @ 1.52% 6-1 @ 1.35% 5-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.16% Total : 75.77%	1-1 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 3.97% 0-0 @ 2.71% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 14.49%	1-2 @ 2.92% 0-1 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.15% Total : 9.74%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Leeds

Arsenal

83.6%

Draw

8.4%

Leeds United

8.0%

Head to Head

Oct 16, 2022 2pm

0-1

Saka (35')
Saliba (62')

May 8, 2022 2pm

2-1

Nketiah (5', 10')
Magalhaes (16'), Tomiyasu (64')

Llorente (66')
Raphinha (27'), Klich (34')
Ayling (27')

Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm

1-4

Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')

Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')

Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm

Last 16

2-0

Chambers (55'), Nketiah (69')
Soares (59')

Roberts (23')

Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm

4-2

Arsenal 4-1 Crystal Palace

Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')

Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)

Fulham 0-3 Arsenal

Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arsenal

Arsenal 3-2 Bournemouth

Leeds 1-0 Southampton

Everton 1-0 Leeds

Build-up

Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring for England on March 26, 2023

Mikel Arteta explains Bukayo Saka absence against Leeds United

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reveals that Bukayo Saka's absence from the starting XI against Leeds United is due to illness.

Arsenal's William Saliba ruled out of Leeds United clash

Arsenal's William Saliba goes down injured on March 16, 2023

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reveals that William Saliba will miss Saturday's Premier League clash with Leeds United due to a back injury.

Thomas Partey takes part in Arsenal training ahead of Leeds clash

Thomas Partey in action for Arsenal on October 20, 2022

Arsenal midfielder Thomas Partey takes part in full training ahead of the Gunners' Premier League clash with Leeds United on Saturday afternoon.

How Arsenal could line up against Leeds United

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Arsenal team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Leeds United

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United.