Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.