We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (Vancouver win on penalties)
From the outset of the 2023 MLS campaign, LAFC have had a target on their back, and although they finished the season strong, they have played a lot more games than most MLS sides this year, making the CONCACAF Champions League final, the Leagues Cup quarter-finals and also competing in the Campeones Cup, all of that to say they may be a little fatigued.
The Whitecaps are not the same team that the LA saw at the CONCACAF Champions League this year, and their quick ball movements and pace could be difficult for the home side to handle, while the pressure on them will not be nearly as heavy as what the expectations are for Los Angeles.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.