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Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Jul 3, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
Los Angeles FC

Vancouver
1 - 0
Los Angeles

Cubas (89')
Cavallini (27'), Gauld (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murillo (39'), Fall (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles FC

 Desperation can be a massive X-factor that many do not consider, and even though LA, on paper, have a lot more depth than Vancouver, they may be a little more passive than we anticipate, given their standing. Even without Bale in the fold, the Black and Gold have many weapons, and it is a big ask for anyone to shut them out over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
33.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.85% (0.149 0.15) 41.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.675 -0.67)45.55% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.646 -0.65)67.87% (0.648 0.65)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.31 -0.31)26.39% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.417 -0.42)61.54% (0.418 0.42)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.364 -0.36)21.72% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (-0.563 -0.56)54.89% (0.564 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.21%
    Los Angeles FC 41.94%
    Draw 24.85%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 7.77%
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Los Angeles

Vancouver Whitecaps
22.2%
Draw
19.4%
Los Angeles FC
58.3%
36
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2022 2am
Los Angeles
3-1
Vancouver
Hollingshead (27', 70'), Vela (38')
Vela (33'), Fall (61'), Sanchez (90')
Blackmon (12')
Veselinovic (20'), Teibert (55')
Nov 3, 2021 2.30am
Los Angeles
1-1
Vancouver
Fall (45+2')
Rodriguez (80')
Dajome (14')
Teibert (79')
Aug 22, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Los Angeles
White (60'), Gauld (89')
Rossi (45+2' pen.)
Arango (90+4')
Jul 25, 2021 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-2
Vancouver
Vela (40'), Cifuentes (75')
Baird (67'), Murillo (82')
Caicedo (25'), Dajome (38')
Alexandre (27'), Baldisimo (58'), Bikel (69'), Caicedo (84')
Oct 15, 2020 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Los Angeles
Cavallini (30', 59')
Bush (83'), Bikel (89')
Atuesta (83' pen.)
Segura (49'), Duenas (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
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8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
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13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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