Earthquakes1 - 3LA Galaxy
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy
LA Galaxy almost secured victory over Inter Miami last time out and this could serve as a springboard for their confidence this season. The visitors also have a good record in their recent visits to San Jose. We think there will be goals galore in the Cali Clasico but Galaxy should edge it in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
47.5% ( -0.53) | 23.85% ( 0.06) | 28.65% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.94% ( 0.05) | 43.06% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.54% ( 0.05) | 65.46% ( -0.05) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( -0.19) | 18.3% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( -0.33) | 49.38% ( 0.33) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.36) | 28.12% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( 0.45) | 63.79% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.65% |