Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.