Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 4am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Earthquakes4 - 1DC United
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | DC United |
| 61.38% | 20.39% | 18.22% |
| Both teams to score 57.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
