Seattle

4 - 1

Earthquakes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 60.14%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.