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LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
Atlanta United

LA Galaxy
2 - 0
Atlanta

Puig (76'), Reus (84')
Paintsil (46'), Puig (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fortune (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Atlanta United

All season long, the Galaxy's attacking depth has carried them through, and we do not expect that to change this weekend against an Atlanta side that have been unstable at the back throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.23%) and 1-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawAtlanta United
50.21% (-0.125 -0.13) 21.58% (0.041 0.04) 28.2% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 66.65% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.5% (-0.12 -0.12)32.5% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.85% (-0.141 -0.14)54.15% (0.145 0.15)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)13.41% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.64% (-0.166 -0.17)40.35% (0.17 0.17)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)56.84% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 50.21%
    Atlanta United 28.2%
    Draw 21.58%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.72%
0-0 @ 3.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Atlanta

Los Angeles Galaxy
86.4%
Draw
4.5%
Atlanta United
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2022 2.30am
LA Galaxy
2-0
Atlanta
Brugman (52'), Delgado (90+3')
Sejdic (43'), Franco (67'), Dwyer (77'), Sosa (79')
Jul 18, 2020 9pm
Aug 3, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
LA Galaxy
Romney (23' og.), Gonzalez (43' og.), Martinez (72' pen.)
Martinez (75')

Feltscher (52'), Gonzalez (71'), Araujo (89')
Apr 22, 2018 3.30am
Gameweek 9
LA Galaxy
0-2
Atlanta

Skjelvik (24'), Kitchen (29'), Carrasco (85')
Martinez (22'), Almiro (94' pen.)
Parkhurst (75'), Almiro (77'), Williams (93')
Sep 21, 2017 12am
Atlanta
4-0
LA Galaxy
Martinez (13'), Asad (16', 20'), Almiro (43')
Villalba (39'), Gonzalez Pirez (45')
Vazquez (82')

Alessandrini (58')
Jones (39')
rhs 2.0
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