Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
1 - 0
Atlanta

Ruan (51')
Edwards (53'), Martinez (88'), Martinez (89'), Saliba (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rode Gregersen (37')
Rode Gregersen (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: CF Montreal 0-0 Atlanta United

Neither side are at full strength right now because of the transfer market or international competitions, so we expect to see a dull contest between two sides that, more than anything, want to stay alive in the playoff race for now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Atlanta United
39.18% ( -0.09)	23.87% ( 0.01)	36.95% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 61.95% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

-0.05)

40.23% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

-0.05)

62.6% (

0.05)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

-0.06)

20.74% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

-0.1)

53.37% (

0.1)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.01)

21.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

0.02)

55.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 39.18%

Atlanta United 36.95%

Draw 23.87%

CF Montreal	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.18%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.95%