We said: Atlanta United 2-0 CF Montreal
Physically and mentally, Montreal appear drained and in desperate need of a break to regroup, while their defending so far is leaving a lot to be desired.
Atlanta still tend to give away some quality scoring opportunities, but that should not matter too much against a side low on confidence and likely pretty tired, with little time to rest, following a midweek encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.