Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.