Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match.