Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montreal Impact in this match.