Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Orlando City in this match.