Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.