MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:13:54| >> :60:950:950:
Houston Dynamo
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 3, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Houston
1 - 1
Seattle

Roldan (90+3' og.)
Escobar (14'), Herrera (65'), Olsen (67'), Artur (79'), Dorsey (85')
Herrera (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roldan (87')
Tolo (85')
Seattle win 7-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 12.50am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 12.50am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Seattle Sounders

Given both teams' tight defensive records, the two strongest in the Western Conference this term, and the tight nature of the first fixture on Tuesday, we anticipate another close contest at the weekend which could be settled by a single goal. Needing a victory to keep their hopes alive, we back Houston Dynamo to make home advantage count and take the tie to a decider with a first victory over Seattle Sounders since 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
45.53% (-1.398 -1.4) 24.25% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.22% (1.344 1.34)
Both teams to score 58.36% (0.682 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (0.52 0.52)43.99% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62% (0.503 0.5)66.38% (-0.505 -0.5)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.376 -0.38)19.48% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-0.615 -0.62)51.34% (0.613 0.61)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (1.178 1.18)27.52% (-1.18 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (1.496 1.5)63.03% (-1.498 -1.5)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 45.53%
    Seattle Sounders 30.22%
    Draw 24.24%
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.228 0.23)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Houston vs Seattle

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Seattle Sounders
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 12.50am
MLS Cup Round One
Seattle
0-0
Houston
(Aggregate 0-0 | Seattle win 5-4 on penalties)
Paulo (61'), Gomez Andrade (63'), Leyva (72'), Rothrock (83')
Herrera (55')
Carrasquilla (66')
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!