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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Houston
0 - 1
Seattle


Herrera (58'), Bartlow (90+6')
Bassi (21'), Herrera (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rothrock (87')
Lodeiro (62'), Ragen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, May 7 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Seattle Sounders

 Despite Seattle's position in the table, they have hit a rough patch in terms of form, so we think Houston will manage to preserve their unbeaten home record for another week. Goals seem to have dried up for both sides, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair and one goal may be enough to edge it.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
44.07% (0.18 0.18) 25.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 30.23% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.086000000000006 0.09)50.31% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.076000000000001 0.08)72.26% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.123 0.12)22.75% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (0.181 0.18)56.44% (-0.179 -0.18)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)30.7% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)66.96% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 44.07%
    Seattle Sounders 30.23%
    Draw 25.69%
Houston DynamoDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 30.23%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 2am
Seattle
2-1
Houston
Tolo (59'), Montero (76')
Steres (26')
Dorsey (63')
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle

Carrasquilla (11'), Ceren (90')
Carrasquilla (54')
Ruidiaz (28')
Rowe (47'), Roldan (79')
Roldan (82')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 40
Houston
2-1
Seattle
Urruti (15'), Quintero (20')
Figueroa (79'), Corona (90+2')
Medranda (41')
Arreaga (54'), Paulo (90+4')
Jul 8, 2021 2am
gameweek 15
Seattle
2-0
Houston
Rowe (62'), Ruidiaz (90+4')
Gomez Andrade (33'), Leyva (51')

Picault (80')
Jul 23, 2020 3.30am
gameweek 31
Seattle
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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