Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Strasbourg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Strasbourg.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Angers |
54.59% ( 1.05) | 24.55% ( -0.01) | 20.85% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 48.29% ( -1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.07% ( -1.12) | 52.92% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( -0.96) | 74.52% ( 0.95) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% ( -0.02) | 19.31% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% ( -0.03) | 51.07% ( 0.02) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% ( -1.71) | 40.14% ( 1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.21% ( -1.59) | 76.78% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.59% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |