Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
40.48% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( -0.02) | 34.57% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.3% ( 0.1) | 45.7% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% ( 0.09) | 68.02% ( -0.09) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.03) | 22.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( 0.05) | 56.05% ( -0.04) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.07) | 25.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.09) | 60.55% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |