Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 3.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
88.34% ( 0.01) | 7.96% ( -0.01) | 3.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.45% ( 0.06) | 21.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.73% ( 0.08) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.96% ( 0.01) | 3.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.33% ( 0.03) | 13.67% ( -0.03) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.72% ( 0.07) | 51.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.47% ( 0.04) | 85.53% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
3-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 5.18% Total : 88.33% | 1-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 7.96% | 1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 3.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |