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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Notts County |
48.65% ( -0.83) | 23.35% ( 0.01) | 28% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( 0.54) | 41.21% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.39% ( 0.55) | 63.6% ( -0.55) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( -0.11) | 17.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.62% ( -0.19) | 47.37% ( 0.19) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( 0.87) | 27.62% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.83% ( 1.1) | 63.16% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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