Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.