EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Reading3 - 0Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Reading
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Newport
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Reading 2-0 Newport County
Reading's struggles this season have come on the road, with the Royals winning all but one of their nine home matches across all competitions so far, and this kind of home form will likely prove too much for struggling Newport to handle, which is why we are predicting a home win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Newport County |
62.67% ( 0.13) | 20.64% ( -0.1) | 16.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
