MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 02:14:56| >> :600:2023075:2023075:
Notts County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 0
Leicester U21s

Scott (31')
Nyirenda (24'), McDonald (70'), D (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wormleighton (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Notts County and Leicester City Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 4-1 Leicester City Under-21s

Due to the physical disparity between Leicester's youth side and Notts County's full-time pros, the League Two team should pull away from their visitors and stroll to a straightforward victory - whether that is enough to go through will depend on events in Northampton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
63.73% (0.044999999999995 0.04) 18.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 18.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 65.14% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.39% (0.184 0.18)28.61% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.5% (0.225 0.23)49.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (0.060000000000002 0.06)8.65% (-0.0589 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.18% (0.148 0.15)29.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.111 0.11)28.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.137 0.14)64.52% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 63.73%
    Leicester City Under-21s 18.01%
    Draw 18.25%
Notts CountyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 63.73%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 18.01%

How you voted: Notts County vs Leicester U21s

Notts County
86.5%
Draw
0.0%
Leicester City Under-21s
13.5%
37
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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