Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.