Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Southend United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.