Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
