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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
Gillingham

Northampton
2 - 1
Gillingham

Appere (32'), Hondermarck (82')
Norman Jr (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (63')
Coleman (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 3-0 Northampton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawGillingham
51.95% (0.322 0.32) 27.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 20.64% (-0.335 -0.34)
Both teams to score 40.62% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.12% (-0.318 -0.32)62.88% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.62% (-0.232 -0.23)82.38% (0.229 0.23)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (-0.553 -0.55)46.15% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (-0.432 -0.43)81.84% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 51.94%
    Gillingham 20.64%
    Draw 27.4%
Northampton TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 15.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gillingham
2-2
Northampton
Oliver (11'), Lee (68')
O'Keefe (32'), Cundy (42'), Samuel (71')
Edmondson (79'), Horsfall (83')
Watson (14'), Mills (40'), Morris (55')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Gillingham
Hoskins (31' pen.), Rose (35'), Sheehan (47')
McWilliams (82'), Ashley-Seal (84')
Dempsey (45')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Northampton
1-2
Gillingham
Taylor (55')
Powell (20'), Grimes (31'), Turnbull (64'), Pereira (93')
Pereira (95')
Parker (6'), Eaves (18')
Reilly (11'), Ogilvie (63'), O'Neill (79')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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