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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
36.85% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 37.48% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.28% ( -0.04) | 48.72% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.17% ( -0.04) | 70.82% ( 0.04) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% ( 0.01) | 60.7% ( -0.01) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( -0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( -0.07) | 60.22% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
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