We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
Fiorentina may have lost in disappointing style in the previous encounter between the two sides, but everything went right on the night for Istanbul Basaksehir, scoring three goals with three shots on target. Viola will be an improved side on home soil, and they are likely to scrape a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.