Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
