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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
23.19% | 22.95% | 53.86% |
Both teams to score 56.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% | 43.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% | 66.08% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.29% | 32.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% | 69.26% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% | 16.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% | 45.63% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.19% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |