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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
13.83% | 17.65% | 68.53% |
Both teams to score 56.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.53% | 34.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.6% | 56.4% |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% | 37.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% | 74.18% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.85% | 9.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.96% | 31.04% |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.96% 1-0 @ 3.37% 2-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.83% | 1-1 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.74% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.65% | 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 7.67% 0-4 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.77% 2-4 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 4.68% Total : 68.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |