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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Sutton

Hudlin (17')
Hudlin (61'), Biler (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bugiel (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton United

 Playing Wimbledon seems to bring out the best in Sutton United, who are unbeaten in their last four matches against them in all competitions, and we expect the experience of being in so many close encounters at this tournament last season will give the Us an edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
41.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 26.28% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.5% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)59.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.01100000000001 0.01)29.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.2%
    Sutton United 32.5%
    Draw 26.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.5%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
42.1%
Draw
21.1%
Sutton United
36.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton

Pell (13')
Eastmond (30')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
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