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Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Sports Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Sutton
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Wilson (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guinness-Walker (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Sutton United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.72%25.66%25.62%
Both teams to score 50.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16%52.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54%74.45%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14%54.86%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4%35.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.36%
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.71%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.62%
    Draw 25.66%
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon

Sutton United
56.1%
Draw
24.4%
AFC Wimbledon
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')
Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
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