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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Sutton United

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton


Pell (13'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eastmond (30')
Bugiel (55'), Randall (77'), Milsom (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

Although Wimbledon have not been in great form recently, they should have enough about them to beat Sutton. The visitors have really struggled for goals recently, and this is also coupled with the worst away record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
41.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.5% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)28.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.058999999999997 0.06)72.28% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.25%
    Sutton United 30.5%
    Draw 28.23%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.5%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton

AFC Wimbledon
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Sutton United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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