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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Bradford City |
40.32% ( -0.17) | 27.67% ( 0.15) | 32.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( -0.56) | 57.47% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( -0.45) | 78.27% ( 0.45) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -0.36) | 27.92% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -0.46) | 63.54% ( 0.46) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.28) | 33.12% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( -0.31) | 69.72% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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