MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 11:35:27| >> :600:1692720:1692720:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Crystal Palace logo

Plymouth
2 - 4
Crystal Palace

Waine (6'), Cundle (46')
Butcher (79'), Scarr (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Edouard (58'), Mateta (61', 62', 83')
Mateta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Crystal Palace

While Plymouth will be looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first round, they face the daunting challenge of a well-drilled Crystal Palace side who have been solid this season. Hodgson's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will build on the positives from Saturday's draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
34.89% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.035 0.04)69.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.043999999999997 0.04)61.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.49% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.89%
    Crystal Palace 39.82%
    Draw 25.29%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Crystal Palace

Plymouth Argyle
17.7%
Draw
6.3%
Crystal Palace
75.9%
79
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Crystal Palace

Sawyer (45')
Moses (17')
Davis (19'), Moses (29'), Derry (40'), Danns (51'), Hills (87')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Plymouth
Lee (63')
Timar (5')
Timar (27'), Summerfield (55')
Feb 17, 2009 3pm
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Plymouth
McCarthy (85')
Fonte (64'), Griffit (90')
Gallagher (28', 56')
Doumbé (69'), Gallagher (72')
Dec 22, 2007 3pm
Crystal Palace
2-1
Plymouth
Hill (8'), Scowcroft (44')
Morrison (45'), Songo'o (47')
Easter (49')
Hayles (32'), Sawyer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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