MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 18:33:14| >> :600:1717787:1717787:
Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Burnley logo

Man Utd
2 - 0
Burnley

Eriksen (27'), Rashford (57')
Antony (80'), Fernandes (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (48')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United progress to the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 2-0 win over Championship leaders Burnley.

Team News

Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Casemiro are in the Manchester United XI for tonight's EFL Cup clash with Burnley at Old Trafford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burnley 3-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawBurnley
54.75% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.09% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.16% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.6% (0.599 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (0.734 0.73)45.44% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.698 0.7)67.78% (-0.69799999999999 -0.7)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.282 0.28)16.49% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.508 0.51)46.2% (-0.509 -0.51)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.49600000000001 0.5)34.62% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.523 0.52)71.34% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 54.74%
    Burnley 22.16%
    Draw 23.09%
Manchester UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.16%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Burnley

Manchester United
63.6%
Draw
10.4%
Burnley
26.0%
269
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Dec 30, 2021 8.15pm
Man Utd
3-1
Burnley
McTominay (8'), Mee (27' og.), Ronaldo (35')
Lennon (38')
Apr 18, 2021 4pm
Man Utd
3-1
Burnley
Greenwood (48', 84'), Tarkowski (50'), Cavani (90+3')
Wan-Bissaka (26'), Cork (57'), Tarkowski (89')
Jan 12, 2021 8.15pm
rhs 2.0
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