DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum1 - 2Freiburg
We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Freiburg have been the stronger side over the course of the campaign, and we give them the narrow edge heading into Wednesday's cup tie. Both teams will certainly be desperate to progress, and, with home advantage, Bochum will be no pushovers, but Streich has a strong squad playing at the peak of their powers, and they will be confident of getting over the line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
| 30.64% | 23.7% | 45.67% |
| Both teams to score 60.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
