Boca Juniors1 - 0Cruzeiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 10 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Boca Juniors 2-0 Cruzeiro
Having won just two of their last eight away games, Cruzeiro will need to be at their best at the Estadio Alberto Jose Armando as they look to take a first-leg advantage back to Brazil. However, Boca Juniors have been near impenetrable on home turf and we are backing them to come away with the desired results Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Cruzeiro |
50.31% ( 0.14) | 26.45% ( 0.01) | 23.24% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
