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Argentina national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 4, 2021 at 2am UK
 
Ecuador national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Ecuador

De Paul (40'), Martinez (84'), Messi (90+3')
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
54.43%24.91%20.66%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55%54.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.81%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86%52.14%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78%41.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25%77.74%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 54.42%
    Ecuador 20.66%
    Draw 24.9%
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 5.08%
4-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.66%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 1.30am
Oct 13, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
6-1
Ecuador
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-3
Argentina
Ibarra (1')
Messi (13', 20', 62')
Apr 1, 2015 1am
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-1
Ecuador
Aguero (8'), Pastore (58')
Bolanos (24')
Bolanos (28'), Ayoví (58')
Nov 16, 2013 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-0
Argentina
Ayovi (81'), Ayovi (85'), Gaibor (90')
Roncaglia (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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