CONCACAF Nations League | Final
Jun 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Stadium
Canada0 - 2USA
We said: Canada 1-1 USA (Canada wins on penalties)
The Canadians have proven they are a force to be reckoned with in CONCACAF, and their offensive depth and continuity seems to be a little sharper than the Americans, which is why we believe they are due to lift some silverware at long last this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Canada had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | USA |
| 38.29% | 20.57% | 41.14% |
| Both teams to score 75.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
