Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 4Bayern
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.45%) and 1-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 35.53% | 22.13% | 42.34% |
| Both teams to score 68.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
