Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Astana0 - 2Dinamo Zagreb
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
We said: Astana 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb advance 6-1 on aggregate)
Unlikely to be undeterred by their trip to Kazakhstan, Dinamo should claim a 2-1 triumph at Astana that seals comfortable progress to the third qualifying round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Astana had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
29.07% ( -0) | 26.77% | 44.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
