Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Dinamo Tbilisi1 - 2Astana
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 Astana (Dinamo Tbilisi to win 3-2 on aggregate)
With the home crowd behind them, Dinamo Tbilisi should have what it takes to reach the second qualifying round at the expense of Astana, who look set to pay the price for their wastefulness in the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Astana had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Astana win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Draw | Astana |
42.84% ( 0.16) | 26.26% ( -0.08) | 30.91% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
