MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 16:38:11| >> :600:561894:561894:
Lesotho national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Central African Republic national football team

Lesotho
1 - 0
CAR

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yuken Kanguite (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Lesotho and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 0-4 Morocco
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Lesotho 1-2 Central African Republic

Lesotho have brought in a few promising youngsters for this month's AFCON qualifiers which could help them put up a better fight than in previous rounds, but we feel the CAR still have the better side on paper and should come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lesotho in this match.

Result
LesothoDrawCentral African Republic
48.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 26.04% (-0.281 -0.28) 25.65% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 49.33% (1.08 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (1.271 1.27)54.28% (-1.271 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (1.05 1.05)75.67% (-1.05 -1.05)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.521 0.52)22.48% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.771 0.77)56.04% (-0.77 -0.77)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.974 0.97)36.36% (-0.973 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.974 0.97)73.14% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 48.31%
    Central African Republic 25.65%
    Draw 26.03%
LesothoDrawCentral African Republic
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.413 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.118 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.65%

How you voted: Lesotho vs CAR

Lesotho
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
Central African Republic
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
CAR
3-1
Lesotho
Mafouta (1', 24'), Koyalipou (62')
Baboula (59')
Motebang (56')
Rasethuntsa (19'), Sefali (22'), Motebang (86')
rhs 2.0
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