Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.67%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
0.23) 
-0.72) 
